Buenos Aires and the Country is the title of a book by Felix Luna that presents this ambivalence as the crucial dualism in national politics. Sunday’s elections show that, as it may sound, the question remains.
“These are the facts: Are we a national force or the AMBA party?”Paco Duranuna, loyal until recently, wondered on Twitter (see photo). San Antonio de Areco’s former mayor’s question points to two facts: the partisan retreat to the city walls and the importance that mayors have had in returning; Relative importance, since the mayors revealed – as explained last week Conorbanologist Jorge Chiu- If they lose, it will be the fault of the arbitrary and unrepresentative assembly of legislative lists and if they win, it will be the merit of the territorial action. Along with the latter, mayors – as we’ve said in previous editions – have come out to demand a solution to the re-election cap. Not all, because some – Martin Insoraldi, Juan Zavaleta, Mariano Cascalares and possibly Jorge Macri – have moved to national or regional executive functions in order to circumvent this ban preventing them from reclaiming the barons.
Along these lines, governors will begin to reconsider the axis of urban power, and this could split the two great political forces in two, perhaps to the point of electoral fragmentation. Because the Sunday night extremes had to watch the PRO festivities from the booths. In principle, he does not gain anything by breaking the alliance, except that the party section reaches PRO, where macrismo wants to get her chance in 2023 at any cost.
The elections were analyzed in the “national media” with the eyes of the capital. But the fact is that at the national level, Juntos’ victory was by nearly nine percentage points, which would allow him to contest for parliamentary power. Focusing on CABA and the “mother of all battles” in Buenos Aires, the Juntos’ victory dwarfs the opposition’s victory. What was really clear was that Larista Santelli Vidal served only to preserve the authority of the capital and pre-candidate for the Prime Minister of Buenos Aires, but it jeopardized the aspirations of the opposition in the Buenos Aires Province and did not provide a channel for popular anger that largely chose to miss the elections, abstain or vote Liberal or left.
There are characters who will be attracted in 2023 who have hardly been seen on screens or the subject of press coverage: Rogelio Frigrio, Alfredo Cornego, Gerardo Morales, Gustavo Valdes, Juan Charetti, Sergio Onac, Juan Manzor of Corrientes. Among other things. When we say attraction, we don’t mean to be candidates, but rather to have the power to make an important national formula. To say the least, where will Peronist Republic go? Patricia Bullrich and Mauricio Macri? And what about the liberals? Instead, journalistic eyes are on how the president will defuse the economy’s ticking bomb. It is natural, because the ability or inability of the government will damage the social fabric to a greater or lesser degree. But the list does not offer many alternatives: agreeing with the IMF and making difficult decisions, or entering short-lived creative alternative paths.
Hopefully, Congress and the Supreme Court will have an important role in this time ahead. Not in vain, Morales himself has come out to expect that the radical would not seek the presidency of the Chamber of Deputies. What he says to Peronism is: “Children, take charge of yourself.” We’ll have to wait for the spreads to narrow to see what stays in place the next day. On this basis, the future will be built.